SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Como had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.08%) and 0-2 (5.64%). The likeliest Como win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Como | Draw | Al-Hilal |
36.56% ( -25.87) | 23.78% ( 4.53) | 39.66% ( 21.33) |
| Both teams to score 62.24% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.15% ( -6.8) | 39.84% ( 6.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.8% ( -7.42) | 62.2% ( 7.42) |
| Como Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.14% ( -11.66) | 21.86% ( 11.66) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.9% ( -21.6) | 55.1% ( 21.6) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.65% ( 10.8) | 20.35% ( -10.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.25% ( 14.74) | 52.75% ( -14.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Como | Draw | Al-Hilal |
| 2-1 @ 8.19% ( -1.47) 1-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.49)2-0 @ 5.14% ( -3.14)3-1 @ 4.15% ( -3.2)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.98)3-0 @ 2.61% ( -3.69)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -2.61)4-2 @ 1.26% ( -1.19)4-0 @ 0.99% ( -2.6)Other @ 2.58% Total : 36.56% | 1-1 @ 10.76% ( 2.3) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.89)0-0 @ 4.45% ( 1.27)3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.77% | 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 3.64) 0-1 @ 7.08% ( 3.37)0-2 @ 5.64% ( 3.48)1-3 @ 4.55% ( 2.63)2-3 @ 3.46% ( 1.27)0-3 @ 2.99% ( 2.15)1-4 @ 1.81% ( 1.25)2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.74)0-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.95)Other @ 2.98% Total : 39.66% |
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