Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 76.81%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Heracles had a probability of 8.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Heracles win it was 1-2 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Groningen in this match.

Result
Groningen	Draw	Heracles
76.81% ( 0.3)	14.32% ( -0.21)	8.86% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 51.64% (

0.44)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.56% (

0.75)

32.43% (

-0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.93% (

0.87)

54.07% (

-0.87)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.08% (

0.22)

6.91% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.61% (

0.6)

25.38% (

-0.6)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.48% (

0.34)

44.51% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.45% (

0.28)

80.54% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Groningen 76.81%

Heracles 8.86%

Draw 14.32%

Groningen	Draw	Heracles
2-0 @ 10.98% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.89% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 7.92% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 5.29% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 2.83% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.06) 6-0 @ 1.56% ( 0.05) 6-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.05) 5-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.58% Total : 76.81%	1-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.99% Total : 14.32%	1-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.7% Total : 8.86%