Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for USA had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest USA win was 0-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
