Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Apollon Smirnis win with a probability of 38.59%. A win for OFI Crete had a probability of 33.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Apollon Smirnis win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest OFI Crete win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Apollon Smirnis would win this match.
