SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 49.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 22.83%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for an Asteras Tripolis win it was 0-1 (8.86%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
49.99% ( -1.72) | 27.18% ( 0.27) | 22.83% ( 1.46) |
| Both teams to score 43.58% ( 0.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.62% ( 0.33) | 60.38% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.48% ( 0.25) | 80.53% ( -0.25) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.65% ( -0.64) | 24.35% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.25% ( -0.91) | 58.75% ( 0.92) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.61% ( 1.69) | 42.4% ( -1.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.23% ( 1.42) | 78.78% ( -1.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 1-0 @ 14.58% ( -0.46) 2-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.52)2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.34)3-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.71% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 1.47% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.28% Total : 49.98% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.32)0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.3)1-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.09)Other @ 1.1% Total : 22.83% |
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