Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Xanthi win with a probability of 38.46%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 30.8% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Xanthi win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 2-1 (7.22%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 0-1 (12.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (13.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.