SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 8 | 26 | 22 |
| 2 | Netherlands | 8 | 10 | 18 |
| 3 | Greece | 8 | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Republic of Ireland | 8 | -1 | 6 |
| 5 | Gibraltar | 8 | -41 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wales win with a probability of 89.15%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 2.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wales win was 0-3 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.13%) and 0-4 (11.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.8%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 1-0 (1.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gibraltar | Draw | Wales |
2.82% ( -0.02) | 8.03% ( -0.04) | 89.15% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 35.56% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.83% ( 0.05) | 29.17% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.81% ( 0.06) | 50.18% ( -0.06) |
| Gibraltar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 37.07% ( -0.1) | 62.93% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.92% ( -0.05) | 92.08% ( 0.04) |
| Wales Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.92% ( 0.01) | 4.07% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.88% ( 0.05) | 17.12% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gibraltar | Draw | Wales |
| 1-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.63% Total : 2.82% | 1-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 8.03% | 0-3 @ 14% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 13.13% 0-4 @ 11.2% ( 0.02)0-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.01)0-5 @ 7.17% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 6.49% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 5.19% ( -0)0-6 @ 3.83% ( 0.02)1-5 @ 3.32% ( 0)1-6 @ 1.77% ( 0)0-7 @ 1.75% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.28% Total : 89.13% |
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