SM
| Current League B2 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Russia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Israel | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Iceland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Albania | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Argentina | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Saudi Arabia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Iceland win with a probability of 53.03%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 23.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Iceland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.75%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 0-1 (6.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Iceland in this match.
| Result | ||
| Iceland | Draw | Saudi Arabia |
53.03% ( -0.12) | 23.27% ( 0.02) | 23.7% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 55.97% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.44% ( -0.01) | 44.57% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.07% ( -0) | 66.93% ( 0) |
| Iceland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.22% ( -0.04) | 16.78% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.27% ( -0.08) | 46.73% ( 0.08) |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.26% ( 0.08) | 32.75% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.7% ( 0.09) | 69.3% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Iceland | Draw | Saudi Arabia |
| 1-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.75% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.25% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0)5-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.13% Total : 53.03% | 1-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.27% | 0-1 @ 6.13% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.42% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 23.7% |
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