Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lebanon win with a probability of 35.86%. A win for Kuwait had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lebanon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.57%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Kuwait win was 1-0 (11.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lebanon would win this match.
