SM
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Northern Ireland | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bulgaria | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Luxembourg | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League A4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Spain | 6 | 9 | 16 |
| 2 | Denmark | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| 3 | Serbia | 6 | -3 | 6 |
| 4 | Switzerland | 6 | -8 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northern Ireland win with a probability of 51.1%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Switzerland had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northern Ireland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Switzerland win it was 0-1 (8.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Northern Ireland | Draw | Switzerland |
51.1% ( -0.08) | 26.96% ( 0.03) | 21.93% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 43.17% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.61% ( -0.06) | 60.39% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.47% ( -0.05) | 80.53% ( 0.05) |
| Northern Ireland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.16% ( -0.06) | 23.84% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.98% ( -0.09) | 58.02% ( 0.09) |
| Switzerland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.69% ( 0.01) | 43.31% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.45% ( 0.01) | 79.55% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Northern Ireland | Draw | Switzerland |
| 1-0 @ 14.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.61% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.07% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.78% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 51.1% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0)Other @ 0.53% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 1% Total : 21.93% |
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