SM
| Current Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Colombia | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 2 | Argentina | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Paraguay | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Qatar | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 51.38%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Ghana had a probability of 22.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.38%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Ghana win it was 0-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Qatar | Draw | Ghana |
51.38% ( -0.07) | 26.34% ( 0.03) | 22.27% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.14% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.98% ( -0.08) | 58.02% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.29% ( -0.07) | 78.71% ( 0.07) |
| Qatar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( -0.07) | 22.7% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.64% ( -0.1) | 56.36% ( 0.1) |
| Ghana Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.4% ( -0.01) | 41.6% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.91% ( -0.01) | 78.08% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qatar | Draw | Ghana |
| 1-0 @ 14% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.38% 2-1 @ 9.11% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 51.38% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.63% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.39% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.63% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 1.17% Total : 22.27% |
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