SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uruguay | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Saudi Arabia | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Russia | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Egypt | 2 | -3 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 48.58%. A win for Honduras had a probability of 27.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Honduras win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Honduras |
48.58% ( 0) | 23.8% ( -0.02) | 27.61% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.08% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.44% ( 0.1) | 43.56% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.04% ( 0.1) | 65.95% ( -0.11) |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.93% ( 0.04) | 18.07% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.02% ( 0.07) | 48.98% ( -0.08) |
| Honduras Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.88% ( 0.06) | 29.11% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.96% ( 0.07) | 65.04% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Honduras |
| 2-1 @ 9.5% 1-0 @ 9% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.42% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.32% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.6% Total : 48.58% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.8% | 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)Other @ 3.39% Total : 27.61% |
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