SM
| Current League C3 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Kazakhstan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Belarus | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Azerbaijan | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Slovakia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 48.74%. A win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.49%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Kazakhstan win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Uzbekistan | Draw | Kazakhstan |
48.74% ( -0.02) | 24.1% ( 0.01) | 27.17% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.71% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.8% ( -0.03) | 45.2% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.46% ( -0.02) | 67.54% ( 0.03) |
| Uzbekistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.36% ( -0.02) | 18.64% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.05% ( -0.03) | 49.95% ( 0.03) |
| Kazakhstan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.71% ( -0) | 30.3% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.53% ( -0.01) | 66.47% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uzbekistan | Draw | Kazakhstan |
| 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.49% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.33% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.46% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.87% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0)Other @ 3.35% Total : 48.74% | 1-1 @ 11.32% 2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.65% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.09% | 1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.03% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.69% 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 3.08% Total : 27.17% |
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