Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zambia win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Guinea had a probability of 31.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Guinea win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%).
