SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ashdod win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Ironi Kiryat Shmona had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ashdod win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Ironi Kiryat Shmona win was 0-1 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ashdod would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ashdod | Draw | Ironi Kiryat Shmona |
37.78% ( 0) | 27.64% ( -0.02) | 34.58% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 48.81% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.04% ( 0.08) | 56.96% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.14% ( 0.07) | 77.86% ( -0.07) |
| Ashdod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.87% ( 0.04) | 29.13% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.94% ( 0.05) | 65.06% ( -0.05) |
| Ironi Kiryat Shmona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.88% ( 0.05) | 31.12% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.55% ( 0.06) | 67.45% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ashdod | Draw | Ironi Kiryat Shmona |
| 1-0 @ 11.18% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.83% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.93% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.78% | 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.4% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 34.58% |
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