Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Consadole Sapporo had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Consadole Sapporo win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.