Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for FC Tokyo had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.94%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest FC Tokyo win was 1-0 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.