Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 49.4%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kashima Antlers in this match.