Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 47.37%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 25.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.56%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (9.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
