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La Liga | Gameweek 31
Apr 21, 2021 at 8pm UK
Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country
VL

Alaves
2 - 1
Villarreal

Joselu (17'), Mendez (80')
Garcia (69'), Mendez (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Alcacer (50')
Pedraza (63')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 63.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 14.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.73%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
AlavesDrawVillarreal
14.41%21.77%63.81%
Both teams to score 44.51%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.41%51.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.62%73.38%
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.7%47.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.29%82.71%
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.45%15.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.52%44.48%
Score Analysis
    Alaves 14.41%
    Villarreal 63.8%
    Draw 21.77%
AlavesDrawVillarreal
1-0 @ 5.51%
2-1 @ 3.84%
2-0 @ 2.06%
3-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 14.41%
1-1 @ 10.24%
0-0 @ 7.35%
2-2 @ 3.57%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 21.77%
0-1 @ 13.68%
0-2 @ 12.73%
1-2 @ 9.54%
0-3 @ 7.9%
1-3 @ 5.92%
0-4 @ 3.68%
1-4 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 2.22%
0-5 @ 1.37%
2-4 @ 1.03%
1-5 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 63.8%

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