Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 18.82%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.97%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Celta Vigo
57.77%	23.42%	18.82%

Both teams to score 48.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49%

51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.13%

72.87%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.59%

17.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.15%

47.85%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.75%

41.25%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.22%

77.78%

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 57.76%

Celta Vigo 18.82%

Draw 23.41%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 12.55% 2-0 @ 10.97% 2-1 @ 9.72% 3-0 @ 6.39% 3-1 @ 5.66% 4-0 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.51% 4-1 @ 2.48% 4-2 @ 1.1% 5-0 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.62% Total : 57.76%	1-1 @ 11.11% 0-0 @ 7.18% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.82% Total : 23.41%	0-1 @ 6.36% 1-2 @ 4.92% 0-2 @ 2.82% 1-3 @ 1.45% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 2% Total : 18.82%