This is a much bigger match for Cadiz than it is for Real Madrid, but it is difficult to back against the visitors, especially considering their performance against Levante on Thursday. Cadiz will be motivated to secure a positive result, but we believe that Los Blancos will claim all three points this weekend.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 63.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 15.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.07%) and 1-2 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
-0.26) 
0.57) 
