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La Liga | Gameweek 2
Sep 20, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes
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Granada
2 - 1
Alaves

Soldado (7'), Machis (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Joselu (22')
Mendez (24'), Battaglia (26'), Lejeune (49')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 50.32%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 22.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.

Result
GranadaDrawAlaves
50.32%26.99%22.69%
Both teams to score 43.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.13%59.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.86%80.14%
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.03%23.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.79%58.21%
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.76%42.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.36%78.64%
Score Analysis
    Granada 50.31%
    Alaves 22.69%
    Draw 26.98%
GranadaDrawAlaves
1-0 @ 14.46%
2-0 @ 10.32%
2-1 @ 8.9%
3-0 @ 4.92%
3-1 @ 4.24%
3-2 @ 1.83%
4-0 @ 1.76%
4-1 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 50.31%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 10.12%
2-2 @ 3.84%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 8.73%
1-2 @ 5.37%
0-2 @ 3.76%
1-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.1%
0-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.11%
Total : 22.69%


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