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La Liga | Gameweek 7
Oct 24, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
AB

Osasuna
1 - 0
Athletic Bilbao

Garcia (81' pen.)
Garcia (16'), Arrasate Elustondo (45'), Sanjurjo (54'), Vidal (63')
Arrasate Elustondo (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Alvarez (24'), Garcia (26')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.59% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Osasuna in this match.

Result
OsasunaDrawAthletic Bilbao
36.64%28.78%34.59%
Both teams to score 45.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.93%61.07%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.95%81.05%
Osasuna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.11%31.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.66%68.34%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.77%33.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.16%69.84%
Score Analysis
    Osasuna 36.64%
    Athletic Bilbao 34.58%
    Draw 28.77%
OsasunaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 12.11%
2-1 @ 7.63%
2-0 @ 6.92%
3-1 @ 2.91%
3-0 @ 2.64%
3-2 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 36.64%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 10.59%
2-2 @ 4.2%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.77%
0-1 @ 11.67%
1-2 @ 7.35%
0-2 @ 6.43%
1-3 @ 2.7%
0-3 @ 2.36%
2-3 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.58%


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