Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match.
