Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 78.98%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 6.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.95%) and 3-0 (12.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.8%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (2.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Real Madrid in this match.
