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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 11, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Jose Zorrilla
GL

Real Valladolid
1 - 2
Granada

Orellana (41' pen.)
Alcaraz (62'), Janko (62'), Masip (64'), Bruno (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Molina (78'), Quini (86')
Vallejo (34'), Suarez Charris (67')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Granada would win this match.

Result
Real ValladolidDrawGranada
30.84%28.06%41.11%
Both teams to score 46.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.81%59.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.38%79.62%
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.12%34.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38%71.62%
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7%28.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.97%64.03%
Score Analysis
    Real Valladolid 30.83%
    Granada 41.11%
    Draw 28.06%
Real ValladolidDrawGranada
1-0 @ 10.39%
2-1 @ 6.91%
2-0 @ 5.48%
3-1 @ 2.43%
3-0 @ 1.92%
3-2 @ 1.53%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 30.83%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 9.87%
2-2 @ 4.36%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.06%
0-1 @ 12.46%
1-2 @ 8.28%
0-2 @ 7.86%
1-3 @ 3.49%
0-3 @ 3.31%
2-3 @ 1.84%
1-4 @ 1.1%
0-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.73%
Total : 41.11%

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