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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 21
Jun 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Oriel Park
SR

Dundalk
1 - 0
Sligo

Horgan (54')
Elliott (25'), Durrant (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Wiggett (37')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shelbourne 1-0 Dundalk
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Waterford 4-1 Sligo
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

We said: Dundalk 1-0 Sligo Rovers

Since Daly assumed control of the squad, Dundalk have only been defeated by league leaders Shelbourne, so the Lilywhites should be confident of collecting a positive result on Thursday night. Last week's heavy defeat at Waterford raised plenty of concerns from those of a Sligo persuasion, and we feel that it could get worse before it gets better for Rovers this month. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 47.85%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundalk in this match.

Result
DundalkDrawSligo Rovers
47.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 27.97% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 24.18% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 42.88% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.04% (-0.064 -0.06)61.96% (0.066000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.29% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)81.71% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)26.08% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.87% (-0.055 -0.05)61.14% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Sligo Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.01% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)41.99% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.57% (-0.029 -0.03)78.43% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Dundalk 47.85%
    Sligo Rovers 24.18%
    Draw 27.96%
DundalkDrawSligo Rovers
1-0 @ 14.72% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.89%
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 47.85%
1-1 @ 12.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.95% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 27.96%
0-1 @ 9.5% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 4.12% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 24.18%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-0 Dundalk
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 2-3 Dundalk
Monday, June 3 at 5.15pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 0-0 Derry
Friday, May 31 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Galway United 2-0 Dundalk
Friday, May 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 1-0 Shamrock
Friday, May 17 at 8.15pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Waterford 4-1 Dundalk
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Waterford 4-1 Sligo
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Sligo 2-1 Drogheda
Monday, June 3 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-2 Sligo
Friday, May 31 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 2-2 Sligo
Friday, May 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Sligo 0-3 Bohemians
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Galway United 0-0 Sligo
Friday, May 10 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier


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