Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 27.41% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.
