SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 41.88%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Galway United had a probability of 28.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 2-1 (7.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.29%), while for a Galway United win it was 0-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | Galway United |
41.88% ( -0.02) | 29.54% ( 0.02) | 28.58% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 41.85% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.26% ( -0.03) | 64.74% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.29% ( -0.02) | 83.71% ( 0.03) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.4% ( -0.02) | 30.6% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.17% ( -0.03) | 66.83% ( 0.04) |
| Galway United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.31% ( -0.02) | 39.69% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.63% ( -0.02) | 76.37% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | Galway United |
| 1-0 @ 14.38% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.52% ( -0)2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0)4-0 @ 1% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.29% Total : 41.87% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 12.14% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.64% ( -0)Other @ 0.47% Total : 29.54% | 0-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.14% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.18% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.6% 2-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 1.43% Total : 28.58% |
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