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League One | Gameweek 6
Sep 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
Crown Ground
ST

Accrington
1 - 0
Shrewsbury

Mumbongo (15')
Morgan (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vela (25'), Pennington (44'), Cosgrove (45+2'), Nurse (62')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 47.62%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 25.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.54%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (8.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawShrewsbury Town
47.62%26.61%25.77%
Both teams to score 47.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.68%56.32%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.65%77.35%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.33%23.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.22%57.78%
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.63%37.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.84%74.16%
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 47.61%
    Shrewsbury Town 25.77%
    Draw 26.6%
Accrington StanleyDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 12.74%
2-0 @ 9.18%
2-1 @ 9.04%
3-0 @ 4.41%
3-1 @ 4.34%
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-0 @ 1.59%
4-1 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 47.61%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 8.85%
2-2 @ 4.45%
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 26.6%
0-1 @ 8.71%
1-2 @ 6.17%
0-2 @ 4.29%
1-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.46%
0-3 @ 1.41%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 25.77%

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