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League One | Gameweek 6
Sep 4, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
OU

AFC Wimbledon
3 - 1
Oxford Utd

Rudoni (55', 81'), Nightingale (78')
Guinness-Walker (37'), Heneghan (54'), Chislett (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sykes (45+1')
Seddon (13')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 49.43%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.38%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.08%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 1-0 (7.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawOxford United
25.16%25.42%49.43%
Both teams to score 50.71%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.75%52.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.05%73.96%
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.32%35.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.55%72.46%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84%21.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.98%54.02%
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 25.16%
    Oxford United 49.42%
    Draw 25.42%
AFC WimbledonDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 7.78%
2-1 @ 6.23%
2-0 @ 4.01%
3-1 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 1.66%
3-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 25.16%
1-1 @ 12.08%
0-0 @ 7.55%
2-2 @ 4.84%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 11.72%
1-2 @ 9.38%
0-2 @ 9.11%
1-3 @ 4.86%
0-3 @ 4.71%
2-3 @ 2.5%
1-4 @ 1.89%
0-4 @ 1.83%
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 49.42%

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