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League One | Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
FG

Barnsley
2 - 0
Forest Green

Cole (15'), Martin (83')
Kitching (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 2-1 Forest Green Rovers

Despite a poor run of late, Barnsley should still be good enough to get by Forest Green. Their experience should get them through the game, but the visitors will not make it an easy ride. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 49.95%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 25.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawForest Green Rovers
49.95% (-0.114 -0.11) 24.41% (0.038 0.04) 25.64% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 54.29% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.25% (-0.104 -0.1)47.75% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.06% (-0.096 -0.1)69.95% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)19.15% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.2% (-0.143 -0.14)50.8% (0.143 0.14)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)32.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.42% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 49.94%
    Forest Green Rovers 25.64%
    Draw 24.41%
BarnsleyDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 10.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.27% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.73% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.18% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.96% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 49.94%
1-1 @ 11.57% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.29% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.41%
0-1 @ 7% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 25.64%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Barnsley
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 0-0 Barnsley
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Doncaster 2-4 Barnsley
Tuesday, October 11 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Barnsley 0-2 Exeter
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-1 Barnsley
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Forest Green
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 4-1 Exeter
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Port Vale 2-2 Forest Green
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 4-1 Forest Green
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-0 Bolton
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One


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