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League One | Gameweek 22
Feb 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Highbury Stadium
CU

Fleetwood
1 - 0
Cambridge

Rooney (88')
Mendes Gomes (34'), Warrington (78'), Vela (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bennett (44')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-0 Cambridge United

Fleetwood are the side in better form coming into this clash, but Cambridge will be encouraged by their display last time out against Plymouth. We think this will be a closely-fought contest, but Cambridge's away form this season makes us favour a narrow Fleetwood win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 47.56%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.09%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (8.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Fleetwood Town in this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawCambridge United
47.56% (-0.818 -0.82) 26.47% (0.249 0.25) 25.97% (0.568 0.57)
Both teams to score 48.35% (-0.237 -0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.32% (-0.546 -0.55)55.68% (0.545 0.55)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.17% (-0.449 -0.45)76.83% (0.44799999999999 0.45)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.57% (-0.61 -0.61)23.42% (0.608 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.57% (-0.892 -0.89)57.42% (0.891 0.89)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.14% (0.192 0.19)36.85% (-0.192 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36% (0.193 0.19)73.64% (-0.194 -0.19)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 47.55%
    Cambridge United 25.97%
    Draw 26.46%
Fleetwood TownDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 12.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.09% (-0.136 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.087999999999999 -0.09)
3-0 @ 4.4% (-0.146 -0.15)
3-1 @ 4.39% (-0.123 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.083 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 47.55%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.63% (0.18 0.18)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.46%
0-1 @ 8.62% (0.224 0.22)
1-2 @ 6.24% (0.085 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.3% (0.134 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.08% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.43% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 25.97%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Plymouth 0-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 Peterborough
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-3 Burton Albion
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 Oxford Utd
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Cambridge
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Ipswich
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Cambridge
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 5-1 Cambridge
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One


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