Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (8.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
-0.38) 
0.08) 
