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Thursday, March 28
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OU
League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 24, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
PA

Oxford Utd
3 - 1
Plymouth

Edwards (29' og.), Taylor (69', 80')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ennis (65')
Edwards (76')
Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Plymouth Argyle.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 18.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawPlymouth Argyle
60.04%21.48%18.48%
Both teams to score 54.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.64%43.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.25%65.75%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.97%14.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.42%41.58%
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.85%37.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.06%73.94%
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 60.03%
    Plymouth Argyle 18.48%
    Draw 21.48%
Oxford UnitedDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 10.23%
2-0 @ 10.05%
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 6.52%
4-0 @ 3.23%
3-2 @ 3.23%
4-1 @ 3.2%
4-2 @ 1.58%
5-0 @ 1.27%
5-1 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 60.03%
1-1 @ 10.13%
0-0 @ 5.21%
2-2 @ 4.93%
3-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.48%
0-1 @ 5.16%
1-2 @ 5.02%
0-2 @ 2.56%
1-3 @ 1.66%
2-3 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 18.48%

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