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League One | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
ST

Wrexham
3 - 0
Shrewsbury

Palmer (15'), Lee (42'), Marriott (59')
McClean (28'), Dobson (35'), Lee (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Benning (8'), Ojo (69'), Winchester (76'), Lloyd (90')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 0-2 Wrexham
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One

We said: Wrexham 3-1 Shrewsbury Town

Shrewsbury may be in a positive mood after claiming their first win of the season, but we think that they could experience disappointment in Saturday's clash against a Wrexham side that has won both of their two home games this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 58.36%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 18.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.

Result
WrexhamDrawShrewsbury Town
58.36% (-0.182 -0.18) 23.01% (-0.038 -0.04) 18.63% (0.22 0.22)
Both teams to score 49.43% (0.496 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.38% (0.463 0.46)49.62% (-0.46400000000001 -0.46)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.36% (0.415 0.41)71.64% (-0.414 -0.41)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.29% (0.101 0.1)16.71% (-0.101 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.4% (0.18 0.18)46.6% (-0.181 -0.18)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.35% (0.52399999999999 0.52)40.65% (-0.525 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.75% (0.466 0.47)77.25% (-0.46599999999999 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 58.36%
    Shrewsbury Town 18.63%
    Draw 23%
WrexhamDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 12.15% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 10.87% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-1 @ 9.79% (0.022 0.02)
3-0 @ 6.49% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.033 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.63% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.61% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.18% (0.027 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.04% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 58.36%
1-1 @ 10.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.129 -0.13)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.073 0.07)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 23%
0-1 @ 6.11% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.92% (0.064 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.75% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 18.63%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Peterborough 0-2 Wrexham
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Reading
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 0-0 Wrexham
Sunday, August 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Utd 4-2 Wrexham
Tuesday, August 13 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Wrexham 3-2 Wycombe
Saturday, August 10 at 5.30pm in League One
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, August 3 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-2 Bolton
Tuesday, August 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Huddersfield 1-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-2 Fulham U21s
Tuesday, August 20 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-4 Peterborough
Saturday, August 17 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 3-3 Notts County (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 13 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup


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