Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wycombe Wanderers win with a probability of 50.07%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 22.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wycombe Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 2-1 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.02) 
