Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 48.49%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 24.62%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.57%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (8.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
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