Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 33.96% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (7.07%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (11.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
