Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.18%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
