Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 57.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 19.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.4%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
3.84) 
-5.14) 
