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League Two | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
MT

Crewe
1 - 2
Mansfield

Baker-Richardson (70')
Leshabela (33'), Sambou (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Swan (87'), Hawkins (90+3')
Clarke (38'), Quinn (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Mansfield
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Crewe Alexandra 2-0 Mansfield Town

In what is shaping up to be an entertaining clash, Crewe will likely attack from the off as they look to put a dent in Mansfield's early playoff hopes. It has been a mixed start for Crewe, but as they begin to pick up form, it is hard to look beyond the hosts for three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawMansfield Town
20.38% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 24.52% (0.004999999999999 0) 55.1% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.67% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)53.33% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.13% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)74.87% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.87% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.56% (0.0010000000000012 0)77.44% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)19.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49% (-0.012 -0.01)51% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 20.38%
    Mansfield Town 55.08%
    Draw 24.52%
Crewe AlexandraDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 7.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 5.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.28%
3-0 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 20.38%
1-1 @ 11.6%
0-0 @ 7.88% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 24.52%
0-1 @ 12.96%
0-2 @ 10.67%
1-2 @ 9.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 5.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 5.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 2.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.16% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 55.08%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Crewe
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-2 Stevenage
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bolton 4-1 Crewe
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bradford 0-0 Crewe
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 2-2 Northampton
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Mansfield
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Mansfield
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 0-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 1-3 Mansfield
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 3-2 Man City U21s
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Sutton 2-1 Mansfield
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League Two


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