No team has drawn more home games in League Two than Grimsby (10) this season, and we are predicting another stalemate here. AFC Wimbledon have avoided defeat in 12 of their 22 away league games this term and have enough quality to emerge with a point on the final matchday of the campaign.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 47.1%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 25.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.43%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for an AFC Wimbledon win it was 0-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Grimsby Town in this match.
0.15) 
-0.16) 
