Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 26.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
-0.43) 
0.11) 
