Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.
0.39) 
-0.12) 
