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League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
SC

Hartlepool
0 - 5
Stockport

 
FT(HT: 0-2)
Wootton (16', 20'), Madden (61'), Camps (67'), Collar (85')
Hippolyte (24'), Croasdale (47')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Hartlepool United 1-1 Stockport County

In a match with permutations in the lower half of the division, we expect both sides to go full throttle as they seek some much needed momentum. On this occasion, it will be impossible to pick the teams apart, leaving them with a point apiece in this League Two encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 43.71%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawStockport County
30.21% (-0.038 -0.04) 26.07% (-0.123 -0.12) 43.71% (0.157 0.16)
Both teams to score 52.32% (0.37 0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.12% (0.485 0.48)51.88% (-0.49 -0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.37% (0.418 0.42)73.63% (-0.42099999999999 -0.42)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.49% (0.224 0.22)31.51% (-0.227 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.09% (0.258 0.26)67.9% (-0.262 -0.26)
Stockport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.4% (0.289 0.29)23.6% (-0.294 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.32% (0.417 0.42)57.68% (-0.421 -0.42)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 30.21%
    Stockport County 43.71%
    Draw 26.07%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawStockport County
1-0 @ 8.59% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-1 @ 7.16% (0.011 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.96% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.76% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.99% (0.032 0.03)
3-0 @ 1.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 30.21%
1-1 @ 12.4% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 7.44% (-0.146 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.17% (0.052 0.05)
3-3 @ 0.96% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.07%
0-1 @ 10.73% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 8.95% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 7.75% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.053 0.05)
0-3 @ 3.73% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.56% (0.032 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.35% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 43.71%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Hartlepool 3-1 Harrogate
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Barrow 3-1 Hartlepool
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-1 Solihull (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Stevenage 1-0 Hartlepool
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Solihull 2-2 Hartlepool
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Hartlepool 2-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Charlton 2-2 Stockport
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Stockport 1-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-2 Stockport
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 4-0 Swindon
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Tranmere 0-0 Stockport
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 3-0 Sutton
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two


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