Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 53.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 23.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.
