Both Notts and Wimbledon ended the season in similarly poor form, and considering that they were only separated by a single point after 46 matches, expect to see a close game this weekend.
However, given that each team won their home fixture against the other during 2024-25's League Two campaign, the Dons would do well to walk away with the score level after the first leg.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 43.92%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 30% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.