Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 59.87%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 17.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.73%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match.
0.28) 
-0.11) 
